-Positive policies and incentives: Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party has released positive signals such as stabilizing the stock market, which will enhance the overall confidence of the market, attract capital inflows and push the market to open higher. For example, after the meeting of the Political Bureau on September 26th, 2024, the three indexes of A shares rose sharply [__LINK_ICON].Gap opened higher and rose sharply.-Technical cooperation: From a technical point of view, if the market is already in a state of readiness in the early stage, and all technical indicators show a long position, then under the stimulus of favorable policies, the market is expected to rise sharply and break through the previous resistance level.
-Lack of market confidence: Despite the favorable policies, if investors still have doubts about the implementation effect of the policies and the long-term trend of the market, lack of confidence will lead to a weak willingness to follow suit, and it will be difficult to maintain the upward trend after the market opens higher, resulting in a decline.-Profit-taking selling in the early stage: Some investors may take advantage of the opportunity of opening higher in the early stage, and a large number of selling will lead to a rapid decline after the market opens higher [__LINK_ICON].-Uncertainty of macro-economy and external market: Uncertainty of macro-economic data, tension of international trade situation and other factors may affect investors' decision-making, so that the market will be suppressed by these negative factors and fall after opening higher [__LINK_ICON].
-Sector rotation promotion: The related sectors mentioned in the meeting, such as real estate and finance, may take the lead to drive the market to open higher, and then the technology and consumption sectors will relay to promote the overall market to fluctuate upward, forming a benign sector rotation effect.The following are several hypothetical forecasts and bases for the market trend tomorrow:-Market expectations are highly consistent: if investors have a highly consistent interpretation of the Politburo meeting and think that it is a major long-term positive, the consistency of the market is expected to prompt investors to buy stocks one after another, forming a strong buying power and pushing the market to rise sharply.
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide